Dender vs K. Lierse S.K.: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for K. Lierse S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dender wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs K. Lierse S.K.?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Dender (1,893) and K. Lierse S.K. (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dender vs K. Lierse S.K.
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dender
5-3-2- 15K. Koton
- 7E. Mballa Amougou
- 18N. Rôdes
- 24M. Viltard
- 53A. Nhaili
- 21K. Cools
- 6B. Kerf
- 45Amine Daali
- 70M. Sambu
- 22I. Breugelmans
- 16J. Devriendt
K. Lierse S.K.
4-4-2- 5B. Smeets
- 19Kyan Himpe
- 6N. Mayoka-Tika
- 80M. Mitrović
- 11S. El Touile
- 79P. Dwomoh
- 2P. Perdichizzi
- 4S. Vanderhallen
- 21Elton Yeboah
- 58V. De Vos
- 1J. De Smet
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; K. Lierse S.K. have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Seraing United(away) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dender wins, 1 draw, 3 K. Lierse S.K. wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2025 | K. Lierse S.K. 1-5 Dender | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 13, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 2-4 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Dender 2-2 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 10, 2022 | K. Lierse S.K. 2-1 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Dender 2-3 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2021 | K. Lierse S.K. 1-0 Dender | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: K. Lierse S.K. vs Dender on Jul 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; K. Lierse S.K. score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 2nd in Challenger Pro League (18 points from 7 matches) and K. Lierse S.K. sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dender | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | K. Lierse S.K. | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Dender vs K. Lierse S.K.?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs K. Lierse S.K.?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for K. Lierse S.K..
- Where and when is Dender vs K. Lierse S.K. played?
- Dender vs K. Lierse S.K. is played on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.