Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu: result 2-1 and analysis
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 16, 2017 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
Full time
What was the result of Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?
Kagoshima United won 2-1 on April 16, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Kitakyushu have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | Tokyo U23(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Gamba Osaka U23(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Kataller Toyama(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 5-0 | J3 League |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Cerezo Osaka U23(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Blaublitz Akita(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Montedio Yamagata(away) | 0-3 | J2 League |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-2 | J2 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Kitakyushu | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy