Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United played?

Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori

Gainare Tottori

Kagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,694).

Gainare Tottori win26 %

Draw28 %

Kagoshima United win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainare Tottori have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gainare Tottori
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Ehime FC(away)	0-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Osaka(home)	1-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League

Kagoshima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Nara Club(away)	3-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Blaublitz Akita(away)	2-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gainare Tottori win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kagoshima United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Kagoshima United 3-1 Gainare Tottori	J2/J3 League
Mar 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori 0-0 Kagoshima United	J2/J3 League
Oct 18, 2025	Kagoshima United 3-1 Gainare Tottori	J3 League
Apr 20, 2025	Gainare Tottori 0-0 Kagoshima United	J3 League
Dec 2, 2023	Gainare Tottori 1-1 Kagoshima United	J3 League
Jun 24, 2023	Kagoshima United 0-1 Gainare Tottori	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gainare Tottori	1.5	1.5	1	10/15	9/15
Kagoshima United	1.5	0.8	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gainare Tottori sit 10th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Kagoshima United	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
10	Gainare Tottori	3	1	1	1	3	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United?: The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United played?: Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.