Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay: result 2-2 and analysis
Super CupFinalKick-off on February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Astana Arena, Astana
Full time
What was the result of Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Kairat Almaty and FK Tobol Kostanay drew 2-2 on February 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′L. GuerraFK Tobol Kostanay
- 20′A. MrynskiyKairat Almaty
- 26′J. OksanenKairat Almaty (pen.)
- 89′A. TagybergenFK Tobol Kostanay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kairat Almaty have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FK Tobol Kostanay have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | NK Varazdin(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ulytau(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kairat Almaty win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FK Tobol Kostanay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | FK Tobol Kostanay 1-3 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Kairat Almaty 2-1 FK Tobol Kostanay | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Kairat Almaty 2-2 FK Tobol Kostanay | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | FK Tobol Kostanay 1-0 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Kairat Almaty 2-1 FK Tobol Kostanay | Premier League |
| May 6, 2023 | FK Tobol Kostanay 2-3 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kairat Almaty on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kairat Almaty score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FK Tobol Kostanay score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy