Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Hiiu staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kalju Nomme. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
FC Levadia Tallinn starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalju Nomme have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FC Levadia Tallinn have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vaprus(home) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poseidon(away) | 12-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trans Narva(away) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 5-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 5-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kalju Nomme win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Levadia Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 1-1 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kalju Nomme 1-1 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 2-1 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 21, 2025 | FC Levadia Tallinn 3-1 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| May 24, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 3-3 FC Levadia Tallinn | Cup |
| May 4, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 2-0 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kalju Nomme on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalju Nomme score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Levadia Tallinn score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 2.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalju Nomme sit 2nd in Meistriliiga (44 points from 24 matches) and FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st (56 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | Kalju Nomme | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kalju Nomme.
- Where and when is Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn played?
- Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Hiiu staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.