Nõmme United vs Laagri: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Männiku staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Nõmme United the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Laagri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Laagri?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Nõmme United (1,543) and Laagri (1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Laagri have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paide(away) | 1-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hiiumaa(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tamper(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nõmme United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Laagri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Laagri 1-3 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nõmme United 1-2 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Laagri 0-1 Nõmme United | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Laagri 3-0 Nõmme United | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Laagri 5-1 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Nõmme United 4-1 Laagri | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Laagri vs Nõmme United on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Laagri score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Laagri | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nõmme United sit 8th in Meistriliiga (25 points from 24 matches) and Laagri sit 6th (28 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | 28 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 58 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nõmme United vs Laagri?
- The Footlab model makes Nõmme United the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Laagri.
- Where and when is Nõmme United vs Laagri played?
- Nõmme United vs Laagri is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Männiku staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.