Kaltenkirchen vs Oldenburger SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 10Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kaltenkirchen the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Oldenburger SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaltenkirchen vs Oldenburger SV?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Kaltenkirchen (1,753) and Oldenburger SV (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaltenkirchen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Oldenburger SV have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kaltenkirchen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Oldenburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen 2-4 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Oldenburger SV 3-2 Kaltenkirchen | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Kaltenkirchen vs Oldenburger SV on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Oldenburger SV | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaltenkirchen sit 10th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (6 points from 5 matches) and Oldenburger SV sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oldenburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaltenkirchen vs Oldenburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes Kaltenkirchen the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Oldenburger SV.
- Where and when is Kaltenkirchen vs Oldenburger SV played?
- Kaltenkirchen vs Oldenburger SV is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.