TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 10Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eckener Straße, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Nordmark Satrup. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate TSB Flensburg (1,739) and Nordmark Satrup (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSB Flensburg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nordmark Satrup have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Lübeck II(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 TSB Flensburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nordmark Satrup win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | Nordmark Satrup 1-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 10, 2024 | TSB Flensburg 0-2 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 4, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 4-0 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Nordmark Satrup 0-2 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg on Apr 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
TSB Flensburg score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSB Flensburg | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSB Flensburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 4 matches) and Nordmark Satrup sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup?
- The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Nordmark Satrup.
- Where and when is TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup played?
- TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eckener Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.