Match

Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Fatsa Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadı, Karabük

Karabük İdman YurduFatsa Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Karabük İdman Yurdu the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,541) and Fatsa Belediyespor (1,536).

Karabük İdman Yurdu win40 %
Draw29 %
Fatsa Belediyespor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Fatsa Belediyespor have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karabük İdman Yurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Giresunspor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Pazarspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor(away)3-23. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Artvin Hopaspor(home)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3
Fatsa Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Yeni Orduspor(away)1-43. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Yeni Orduspor(home)1-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Çayelispor(home)5-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu(home)2-33. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karabük İdman Yurdu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor 2-3 Karabük İdman Yurdu3. Lig - Group 3
Dec 12, 2025Karabük İdman Yurdu 0-1 Fatsa Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karabük İdman Yurdu1.20.985/155/15
Fatsa Belediyespor1.11.738/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Karabük İdman Yurdu the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
Where and when is Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?
Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karabük İdman Yurdu and Fatsa Belediyespor

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