İnkılapspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes İnkılapspor the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Karabük İdman Yurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İnkılapspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate İnkılapspor (1,511) and Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnkılapspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Edirnespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çankaya FK(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Giresunspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pazarspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
İnkılapspor score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İnkılapspor | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Karabük İdman Yurdu | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | İnkılapspor | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İnkılapspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
- The Footlab model makes İnkılapspor the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Karabük İdman Yurdu.
- Where and when is İnkılapspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu played?
- İnkılapspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Zonguldak KömürsporvsGalata
- Dec 20, 2026DüzcesporvsYalova Yeşilovaspor
- Dec 20, 2026Fatsa BelediyesporvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Dec 20, 2026GölcüksporvsKaradeniz Ereğli BSK
- Dec 20, 2026PazarsporvsBeykoz Anadolu
- Dec 20, 2026Tokat Bld PlevnesporvsSilivrispor
- Dec 20, 2026Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsOrduspor 1967
- Dec 20, 2026Beykoz İshaklısporvsAmasyaspor 1968