Match

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Pazarspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Beyçayırı Şehit Vefa Karakurdu, Karadeniz Ereğli

Karadeniz Ereğli BSKPazarspor

The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Pazarspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Pazarspor?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,628) and Pazarspor (1,583).

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win40 %
Draw31 %
Pazarspor win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Pazarspor have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)0-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Orduspor 1967(home)5-33. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 20261926 Bulancak(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Çayelispor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Pazarspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu(away)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Zonguldak Kömürspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Düzcespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home)0-03. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pazarspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 9, 2026Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0-3 Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 5, 2025Pazarspor 0-0 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Pazarspor on Feb 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK1.20.983/155/15
Pazarspor1.00.5103/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Pazarspor?
The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Pazarspor.
Where and when is Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Pazarspor played?
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Pazarspor is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Beyçayırı Şehit Vefa Karakurdu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karadeniz Ereğli BSK and Pazarspor

Ready to know everything about football?