Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Galata: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, Yalova
The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Galata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Galata?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,548) and Galata (1,513).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Galata have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Etimesgut SK(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1926 Polatlı Belediye(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çankaya FK(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yalova Yeşilovaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Galata win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Galata 0-1 Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1-2 Galata | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Galata vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Galata score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Galata | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yalova Yeşilovaspor sit 9th in 3. Lig - Group 1 (37 points from 30 matches) and Galata sit 10th (37 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
| 10 | Galata | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Galata?
- The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Galata.
- Where and when is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Galata played?
- Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Galata is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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