Karela vs Asante Kotoko: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Asante Kotoko. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karela vs Asante Kotoko?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Asante Kotoko (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Asante Kotoko have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Eleven Wonders(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Dreams(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Karela win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Asante Kotoko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Karela 1-0 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 4-2 Karela | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 1-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Karela 0-1 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Karela 1-0 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Karela 2-0 Asante Kotoko | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Karela vs Asante Kotoko on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Asante Kotoko score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Asante Kotoko | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Asante Kotoko sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 29 | 49 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karela vs Asante Kotoko?
- The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Asante Kotoko.
- Where and when is Karela vs Asante Kotoko played?
- Karela vs Asante Kotoko is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Ashanti GoldvsHeart of Lions
- Feb 20, 2027Bechem UnitedvsPort City
- Feb 20, 2027Berekum ChelseavsBasake Holy Stars
- Feb 20, 2027Hearts of OakvsDreams
- Feb 20, 2027MedeamavsDebibi United
- Feb 20, 2027Bibiani Gold StarsvsVision
- Feb 20, 2027Swedru All BlacksvsAduana Stars
- Feb 20, 2027Young ApostlesvsSamartex