Asante Kotoko vs Karela: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asante Kotoko vs Karela?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Asante Kotoko (1,588) and Karela (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asante Kotoko have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Eleven Wonders(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Dreams(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Asante Kotoko win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Karela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Karela 1-0 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 4-2 Karela | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 1-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Karela 0-1 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Karela 1-0 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Karela 2-0 Asante Kotoko | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Karela vs Asante Kotoko on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asante Kotoko score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asante Kotoko | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asante Kotoko sit 8th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 29 | 49 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asante Kotoko vs Karela?
- The Footlab model makes Asante Kotoko the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Karela.
- Where and when is Asante Kotoko vs Karela played?
- Asante Kotoko vs Karela is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baba Yara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.