Karlovy Vary vs Ústí nad Labem II: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Drahovice UMT, Karlovy Vary
The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for Ústí nad Labem II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlovy Vary vs Ústí nad Labem II?
Karlovy Vary starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlovy Vary have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ústí nad Labem II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chomutov(away) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sokol Brozany(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Karlovy Vary win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ústí nad Labem II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II 5-2 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Karlovy Vary 4-0 Ústí nad Labem II | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| May 30, 2025 | Ústí nad Labem II 4-2 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Karlovy Vary 3-1 Ústí nad Labem II | 4. liga - Divizie B |
Last archived meeting: Ústí nad Labem II vs Karlovy Vary on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlovy Vary score 2.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem II score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlovy Vary | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ústí nad Labem II | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlovy Vary sit 4th in 4. liga - Divizie B (6 points from 3 matches) and Ústí nad Labem II sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Karlovy Vary | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Ústí nad Labem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlovy Vary vs Ústí nad Labem II?
- The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for Ústí nad Labem II.
- Where and when is Karlovy Vary vs Ústí nad Labem II played?
- Karlovy Vary vs Ústí nad Labem II is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Drahovice UMT, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.