Ostrov vs Hvězda Cheb: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Ostrov, Ostrov
The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Hvězda Cheb. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrov vs Hvězda Cheb?
Ostrov starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,647 vs 1,385).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrov have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hvězda Cheb have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Slovan Velvary(home) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(away) | 0-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Chomutov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ostrov win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hvězda Cheb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ostrov 4-0 Hvězda Cheb | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Hvězda Cheb 1-0 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hvězda Cheb score 0.9 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hvězda Cheb | 0.9 | 2.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrov sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie B (0 points from 2 matches) and Hvězda Cheb sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrov vs Hvězda Cheb?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Hvězda Cheb.
- Where and when is Ostrov vs Hvězda Cheb played?
- Ostrov vs Hvězda Cheb is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Ostrov, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.