Karonga United vs Mitundu Baptist: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 25, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Karonga Stadium, Karonga
The Footlab AI model makes Karonga United the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Mitundu Baptist. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karonga United vs Mitundu Baptist?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Karonga United (1,457) and Mitundu Baptist (1,451).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karonga United vs Mitundu Baptist
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Mitundu Baptist
Not enough data to predict the Mitundu Baptist lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karonga United have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mitundu Baptist have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Red Lions(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karonga United(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Karonga United wins, 0 draws, 1 Mitundu Baptist win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist 2-1 Karonga United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mitundu Baptist vs Karonga United on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mitundu Baptist score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Mitundu Baptist | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karonga United sit 13th in Super League (14 points from 15 matches) and Mitundu Baptist sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mitundu Baptist | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 21 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Karonga United vs Mitundu Baptist?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karonga United vs Mitundu Baptist?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karonga United the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Mitundu Baptist.
- Where and when is Karonga United vs Mitundu Baptist played?
- Karonga United vs Mitundu Baptist is played on January 25, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Karonga Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.