Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Kamuzu Stadium, Blantyre
The Footlab AI model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United?
Nyasa Big Bullets starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,457).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nyasa Big Bullets
4-3-3- 19Lanjesi Nkhoma
- 13E. Kondowe
- 17Y. Singo
- 18A. Adebare Babatunde
- 24R. Chitiyo
- 26L. Aaron
- 15Gomezgani Chirwa
- 5C. Senaji
- 7Precious Mavuto Sambani
- 3Nickson Nyasulu
- 1Richard Chimbamba
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyasa Big Bullets have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Karonga United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 5-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nyasa Big Bullets wins, 1 draw, 1 Karonga United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United 0-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Karonga United 0-2 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-3 Karonga United | Super League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Karonga United 2-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Karonga United 0-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs Nyasa Big Bullets on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyasa Big Bullets score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyasa Big Bullets | 1.3 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyasa Big Bullets sit 1st in Super League (33 points from 16 matches) and Karonga United sit 13th (17 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 17 |
A question about Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United played?
- Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Kamuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.