Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Kamuzu Stadium, Blantyre
The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United?
Nyasa Big Bullets starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,459).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyasa Big Bullets have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Karonga United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nyasa Big Bullets win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karonga United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United 0-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Karonga United 0-2 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-3 Karonga United | Super League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Karonga United 2-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Karonga United 0-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs Nyasa Big Bullets on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyasa Big Bullets score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyasa Big Bullets | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Karonga United | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyasa Big Bullets sit 4th in Super League (27 points from 14 matches) and Karonga United sit 14th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Karonga United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Karonga United | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United played?
- Nyasa Big Bullets vs Karonga United is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Kamuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.