Karpaty vs Kolos Kovalivka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Kolos Kovalivka. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Kolos Kovalivka?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Karpaty (1,906) and Kolos Kovalivka (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Kolos Kovalivka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karpaty win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kolos Kovalivka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Karpaty 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Karpaty 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Karpaty 1-2 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Karpaty vs Kolos Kovalivka on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kolos Kovalivka score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 1st in Premier League (9 points from 3 matches) and Kolos Kovalivka sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Kolos Kovalivka?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Kolos Kovalivka.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Kolos Kovalivka played?
- Karpaty vs Kolos Kovalivka is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.