Match

Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 21Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa

ChornomoretsShakhtar Donetsk

The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,612 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Shakhtar Donetsk is a heavy favourite: 2,174 Elo points against 1,808, a 366-point gap.

10%20%70%
Chornomorets winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chornomorets

4-2-3-1
  1. 99C. Mba
  1. 18G. Robakidze
  2. 7D. Alefirenko
  3. 5V. Kurko
  4. 19M. Kogut
  5. 11K. Popov
  1. 24M. Jarju
  2. 27O. Pushkarev
  3. 74M. Farina
  4. 60M. Melnychenko
  1. 12C. Aniagboso

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-3-2-1
  1. 2L. Traoré
  1. 29E. Nazaryna
  2. 6Marlon Gomes
  3. 30Alisson Santana
  4. 27O. Ocheretko
  5. 77G. Mendoza
  1. 22M. Matvienko
  2. 13Pedrinho
  3. 5V. Bondar
  4. 17Vinícius Tobias
  1. 31D. Riznyk

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Shakhtar Donetsk have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chornomorets
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kudrivka(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Veres Rivne(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Karpaty(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Zorya Luhansk(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home)1-2Premier League
Shakhtar Donetsk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Dynamo Kyiv(home)0-0Premier League
Nov 3, 2026Sporting CP(home)0-1UEFA Champions League
Oct 27, 2026Dynamo Kyiv(home)3-0Cup
Oct 24, 2026Zorya Luhansk(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Inter(away)0-1UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chornomorets wins, 0 draws, 6 Shakhtar Donetsk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 14, 2026Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 ChornomoretsPremier League
May 3, 2025Chornomorets 0-3 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
Nov 2, 2024Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 ChornomoretsPremier League
May 5, 2024Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 ChornomoretsPremier League
May 1, 2024Chornomorets 1-4 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
Apr 3, 2024Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 ChornomoretsCup

Last archived meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets on Sep 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chornomorets score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chornomorets0.81.147/156/15
Shakhtar Donetsk1.70.584/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chornomorets sit 11th in Premier League (9 points from 11 matches) and Shakhtar Donetsk sit 1st (29 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk1292122529
11Chornomorets112368139

A question about Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Chornomorets.
Where and when is Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chornomorets and Shakhtar Donetsk