Karviná II vs Hodonín: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kovona, Karviná
The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Karviná II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karviná II vs Hodonín?
Hodonín starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná II have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hodonín have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Uničov(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zlín II(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Líšeň II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blansko(away) | 3-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 1-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karviná II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hodonín win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hodonín 4-1 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Karviná II 2-3 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Hodonín 1-0 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Karviná II 1-2 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Karviná II 4-4 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Hodonín 1-2 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Hodonín vs Karviná II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karviná II score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hodonín score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hodonín | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karviná II sit 6th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Hodonín sit 13th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karviná II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Hodonín | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karviná II vs Hodonín?
- The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Karviná II.
- Where and when is Karviná II vs Hodonín played?
- Karviná II vs Hodonín is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kovona, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.