Karviná vs Třinec: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Městský Stadión, Karviná
The Footlab AI model makes Karviná the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Třinec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karviná wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karviná vs Třinec?
On Elo ratings, Karviná has 1,990 points and Třinec 1,932.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karviná vs Třinec
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karviná
4-3-3- 7J. Selnar
- 8A. Kronus
- 31O. Condé
- 6R. Breite
- 11A. Čičovský
- 18Štěpán Míšek
- 25J. Fleišman
- 32S. Yakubu
- 19N. Milić
- 21A. Markovic
- 30J. Lapeš
Třinec
4-3-3- 14M. Abdoulkarim
- 7A. Nguyen
- 25R. Dedič
- 26L. Cienciala
- 12N. Zinhasovic
- 24T. Omasta
- 9J. Bolf
- 33E. Šehić
- 4M. Helebrand
- 2D. Simerský
- 1R. Murin
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Třinec have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Táborsko(away) | 1-0 | FNL |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Hanácká(home) | 3-2 | FNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 2-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 0-3 | FNL |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Karviná(home) | 3-2 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Karviná wins, 2 draws, 1 Třinec win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Třinec 3-2 Karviná | FNL |
| May 28, 2023 | Karviná 1-0 Třinec | FNL |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Třinec 0-3 Karviná | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Karviná 1-1 Třinec | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2020 | Třinec 2-2 Karviná | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Karviná score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Třinec score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Třinec | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Karviná vs Třinec?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karviná vs Třinec?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karviná the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Třinec.
- Where and when is Karviná vs Třinec played?
- Karviná vs Třinec is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Městský Stadión, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.