Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Alanyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Kasımpaşa (1,920) and Alanyaspor (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Alanyaspor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kasımpaşa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alanyaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 1-0 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Alanyaspor 3-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alanyaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Alanyaspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 7th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Alanyaspor sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Alanyaspor.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.