Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu
The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Kastamonuspor (1,663) and Sebat Gençlikspor (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Sebat Gençlikspor have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Çayelispor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Kastamonuspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sebat Gençlikspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | Kastamonuspor 2-1 Sebat Gençlikspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor on Oct 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sebat Gençlikspor | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?
- The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor played?
- Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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