Match

Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu

KastamonusporSebat Gençlikspor

The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Kastamonuspor (1,663) and Sebat Gençlikspor (1,755).

Kastamonuspor win32 %
Draw26 %
Sebat Gençlikspor win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Sebat Gençlikspor have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig
Sebat Gençlikspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)2-33. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Orduspor 1967(away)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 20261926 Bulancak(home)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 28, 2026Çayelispor(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Kastamonuspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sebat Gençlikspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2023Kastamonuspor 2-1 Sebat GençliksporTürkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor on Oct 11, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15
Sebat Gençlikspor1.50.776/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?
The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor played?
Kastamonuspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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