Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor?
Şanlıurfaspor starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şanlıurfaspor have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 5-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Şanlıurfaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kastamonuspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor 5-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Kastamonuspor 2-4 Şanlıurfaspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th in 2. Lig (65 points from 36 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 43 | 65 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor?
- The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor played?
- Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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