Match

Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanlıurfa

ŞanlıurfasporKastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor?

Şanlıurfaspor starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,663).

Şanlıurfaspor win55 %
Draw23 %
Kastamonuspor win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şanlıurfaspor have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Şanlıurfaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muğlaspor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ankaraspor(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Kastamonuspor(home)5-22. Lig
Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Şanlıurfaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kastamonuspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor 5-2 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Dec 16, 2025Kastamonuspor 2-4 Şanlıurfaspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Şanlıurfaspor1.51.5211/1510/15
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th in 2. Lig (65 points from 36 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Şanlıurfaspor361989634365
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor?
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor played?
Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Şanlıurfaspor and Kastamonuspor

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