Kazincbarcikai vs Karcag SE: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kolorcity Aréna, Kazincbarcika
The Footlab model makes Kazincbarcikai the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Karcag SE. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kazincbarcikai vs Karcag SE?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Kazincbarcikai (1,693) and Karcag SE (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kazincbarcikai have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Karcag SE have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Csakvar(away) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozarmisleny FC(home) | 2-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gyirmot SE(away) | 2-2 | NB II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | BVSC(away) | 0-0 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BVSC(away) | 4-1 | NB II |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(home) | 3-3 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ajka(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Soroksar(home) | 2-2 | NB II |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Szentlőrinc SE(away) | 0-0 | NB II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Kazincbarcikai win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Karcag SE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai 1-0 Karcag SE | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Kazincbarcikai vs Karcag SE on Jan 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kazincbarcikai score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karcag SE score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazincbarcikai | 1.4 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Karcag SE | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kazincbarcikai sit 2nd in NB II (11 points from 5 matches) and Karcag SE sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kazincbarcikai | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Karcag SE | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kazincbarcikai vs Karcag SE?
- The Footlab model makes Kazincbarcikai the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Karcag SE.
- Where and when is Kazincbarcikai vs Karcag SE played?
- Kazincbarcikai vs Karcag SE is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kolorcity Aréna, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.