Tiszakecske FC vs Ajka: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Városi Stadion, Tiszakécske
The Footlab model makes Tiszakecske FC the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tiszakecske FC vs Ajka?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Tiszakecske FC (1,649) and Ajka (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tiszakecske FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ajka have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(home) | 4-1 | NB II |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karcag SE(away) | 3-3 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(home) | 1-0 | NB II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szeged 2011(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tiszakecske FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ajka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ajka 1-4 Tiszakecske FC | NB II |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Ajka 2-1 Tiszakecske FC | Magyar Kupa |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Tiszakecske FC 2-1 Ajka | NB II |
| May 5, 2024 | Tiszakecske FC 2-1 Ajka | NB II |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Ajka 1-0 Tiszakecske FC | NB II |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Tiszakecske FC 1-0 Ajka | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Ajka vs Tiszakecske FC on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tiszakecske FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiszakecske FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tiszakecske FC sit 5th in NB II (9 points from 5 matches) and Ajka sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tiszakecske FC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tiszakecske FC vs Ajka?
- The Footlab model makes Tiszakecske FC the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Ajka.
- Where and when is Tiszakecske FC vs Ajka played?
- Tiszakecske FC vs Ajka is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Városi Stadion, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.