Keith vs Fraserburgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Keith. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Fraserburgh?
Fraserburgh starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,476).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Fraserburgh have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Keith win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Fraserburgh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh 1-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Fraserburgh 1-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Keith 0-2 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Keith 1-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Fraserburgh 4-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Fraserburgh 3-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Fraserburgh sit 4th (68 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Fraserburgh?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Keith.
- Where and when is Keith vs Fraserburgh played?
- Keith vs Fraserburgh is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Formartine UnitedvsTurriff United
- Dec 19, 2026Buckie ThistlevsStrathspey Thistle
- Dec 19, 2026DeveronvalevsHuntly
- Dec 19, 2026Forres MechanicsvsNairn County
- Dec 19, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsBanks O' Dee
- Dec 19, 2026RothesvsLossiemouth
- Dec 19, 2026Wick AcademyvsBrora Rangers
- Dec 19, 2026InvergordonvsClachnacuddin