Keith vs Fraserburgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab AI model makes Keith the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Fraserburgh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Keith wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Fraserburgh?
On Elo ratings, Keith has 1,482 points and Fraserburgh 1,591.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Keith vs Fraserburgh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Keith
Not enough data to predict the Keith lineup.
Fraserburgh
Not enough data to predict the Fraserburgh lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fraserburgh have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stonehaven(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 2-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Keith win, 1 draw, 4 Fraserburgh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh 1-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Fraserburgh 1-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Keith 0-2 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Keith 1-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Fraserburgh 4-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Fraserburgh 3-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fraserburgh score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Fraserburgh | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Fraserburgh sit 4th (68 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
A question about Keith vs Fraserburgh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Fraserburgh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Keith the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Fraserburgh.
- Where and when is Keith vs Fraserburgh played?
- Keith vs Fraserburgh is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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