Lossiemouth vs Keith: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Grant Park, Lossiemouth
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Lossiemouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lossiemouth vs Keith?
Keith starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,476 vs 1,276).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lossiemouth have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Keith have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lossiemouth win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Keith win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keith 2-2 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Keith 5-0 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Lossiemouth 0-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Lossiemouth 2-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Keith 0-4 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Keith 1-0 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lossiemouth score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lossiemouth | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lossiemouth sit 17th in Football League - Highland League (17 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 17 | Lossiemouth | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 76 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lossiemouth vs Keith?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Lossiemouth.
- Where and when is Lossiemouth vs Keith played?
- Lossiemouth vs Keith is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Grant Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Brora RangersvsBuckie Thistle
- Dec 26, 2026FraserburghvsForres Mechanics
- Dec 26, 2026ClachnacuddinvsRothes
- Dec 26, 2026DeveronvalevsInvergordon
- Dec 26, 2026Nairn CountyvsInverurie Loco Works
- Dec 26, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsBanks O' Dee
- Dec 26, 2026Turriff UnitedvsWick Academy
- Dec 26, 2026HuntlyvsFormartine United