Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Central Park, Kelty
The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elgin City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,714 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Kelty Hearts (1,475) and Elgin City (1,556).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kelty Hearts
4-2-3-1- 29R. Shanley
- 14J. Hislop
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 23L. Moore
- 6A. Ferguson
- 5C. Flatman
- 3C. Hannah
- 22Z. Flatman
- 35J. Brydon
- 1J. Smith
Elgin City
3-4-3- 9K. Hester
- 10M. Gallagher
- 11O. Colloty
- 7R. Dingwall
- 22J. Maciver
- 77L. Scullion
- 24Lewis Mackay
- 2M. Neill
- 5K. Girvan
- 6J. Murray
- 1T. Ritchie
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kelty Hearts have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Elgin City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stirling University(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kelty Hearts win, 2 draws, 3 Elgin City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kelty Hearts 0-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City 4-1 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Elgin City 3-2 Kelty Hearts | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 3-1 Elgin City | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Elgin City 1-1 Kelty Hearts | League Cup |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Elgin City 0-0 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kelty Hearts score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Elgin City | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kelty Hearts sit 5th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Elgin City sit 3rd (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elgin City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City played?
- Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Central Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.