Kenya vs Tanzania: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 18, 2021 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tanzania have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 13, 2021 | South Sudan(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Comoros(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Comoros(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | Kenya(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Guinea(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Namibia(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2021 | Zambia(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Tunisia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kenya win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tanzania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | Kenya 2-1 Tanzania | Friendlies |
| Dec 19, 2019 | Kenya 2-1 Tanzania | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Kenya 1-0 Tanzania | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Kenya 0-0 Tanzania | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 28, 2019 | Tanzania 0-0 Kenya | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 27, 2019 | Kenya 3-2 Tanzania | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tanzania score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Tanzania | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy