Kenya vs Tanzania: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 18, 2021 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tanzania have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 13, 2021 | South Sudan(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Comoros(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Comoros(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | Kenya(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Guinea(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Namibia(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2021 | Zambia(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Tunisia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kenya wins, 2 draws, 0 Tanzania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | Kenya 2-1 Tanzania | Friendlies |
| Dec 19, 2019 | Kenya 2-1 Tanzania | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Kenya 1-0 Tanzania | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Kenya 0-0 Tanzania | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 28, 2019 | Tanzania 0-0 Kenya | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 27, 2019 | Kenya 3-2 Tanzania | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tanzania score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Tanzania | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Kenya vs Tanzania?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy