Kežmarok vs Spartak Medzev: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Kežmarok, Kežmarok
The Footlab model makes Spartak Medzev the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Kežmarok. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kežmarok vs Spartak Medzev?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Kežmarok (1,462) and Spartak Medzev (1,535).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kežmarok have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Spartak Medzev have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Snina(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rožňava(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Partizán Bardejov(away) | 3-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kežmarok win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Spartak Medzev win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Kežmarok 1-2 Spartak Medzev | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Spartak Medzev 1-1 Kežmarok | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Kežmarok vs Spartak Medzev on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Medzev score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Spartak Medzev | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kežmarok sit 9th in 3. liga - East (31 points from 26 matches) and Spartak Medzev sit 7th (33 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Medzev | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 50 | 33 |
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kežmarok vs Spartak Medzev?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Medzev the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Kežmarok.
- Where and when is Kežmarok vs Spartak Medzev played?
- Kežmarok vs Spartak Medzev is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Kežmarok, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.