Stará Ľubovňa vs Spišská Nová Ves: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Štadión MFK Goral Stará Ľubovňa, Stará Ľubovňa
The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Stará Ľubovňa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stará Ľubovňa vs Spišská Nová Ves?
Spišská Nová Ves starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,539).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stará Ľubovňa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Spišská Nová Ves have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Partizán Bardejov(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 15, 2026 | Malženice(home) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| May 8, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 1-5 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stará Ľubovňa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Spišská Nová Ves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Spišská Nová Ves 2-2 Stará Ľubovňa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Stará Ľubovňa 1-2 Spišská Nová Ves | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Spišská Nová Ves vs Stará Ľubovňa on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stará Ľubovňa score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spišská Nová Ves score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stará Ľubovňa | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Spišská Nová Ves | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spišská Nová Ves | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 18 | 65 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stará Ľubovňa vs Spišská Nová Ves?
- The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Stará Ľubovňa.
- Where and when is Stará Ľubovňa vs Spišská Nová Ves played?
- Stará Ľubovňa vs Spišská Nová Ves is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión MFK Goral Stará Ľubovňa, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.