Kežmarok vs Spišská Nová Ves: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 25Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Kežmarok, Kežmarok
The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kežmarok. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kežmarok vs Spišská Nová Ves?
Spišská Nová Ves starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kežmarok have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Spišská Nová Ves have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kežmarok win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Spišská Nová Ves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Spišská Nová Ves 1-3 Kežmarok | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Kežmarok 0-2 Spišská Nová Ves | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Spišská Nová Ves 2-4 Kežmarok | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Kežmarok 1-3 Spišská Nová Ves | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Spišská Nová Ves vs Kežmarok on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Spišská Nová Ves score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Spišská Nová Ves | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kežmarok sit 9th in 3. liga - East (31 points from 26 matches) and Spišská Nová Ves sit 2nd (65 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spišská Nová Ves | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 18 | 65 |
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kežmarok vs Spišská Nová Ves?
- The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kežmarok.
- Where and when is Kežmarok vs Spišská Nová Ves played?
- Kežmarok vs Spišská Nová Ves is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Kežmarok, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.