Khujand vs Barki Tajik: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 20-letie Nezavisimosti, Khujand
The Footlab model makes Khujand the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Barki Tajik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khujand vs Barki Tajik?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Khujand (1,442) and Barki Tajik (1,348).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khujand have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Barki Tajik have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Istaravshan(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Barki Tajik(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Khujand win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Barki Tajik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Barki Tajik 1-0 Khujand | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Barki Tajik 0-1 Khujand | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Khujand 1-1 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Khujand 2-0 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Barki Tajik 0-1 Khujand | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 13, 2018 | Khujand 3-0 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barki Tajik vs Khujand on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khujand score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barki Tajik score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khujand | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Barki Tajik | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khujand sit 5th in Vysshaya Liga (20 points from 14 matches) and Barki Tajik sit 6th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Khujand | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Barki Tajik | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khujand vs Barki Tajik?
- The Footlab model makes Khujand the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Barki Tajik.
- Where and when is Khujand vs Barki Tajik played?
- Khujand vs Barki Tajik is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 20-letie Nezavisimosti, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.