Khujand vs Barki Tajik: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 20-letie Nezavisimosti, Khujand
The Footlab AI model makes Khujand the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Barki Tajik. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khujand vs Barki Tajik?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Khujand (1,427) and Barki Tajik (1,333).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Khujand vs Barki Tajik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Khujand
Not enough data to predict the Khujand lineup.
Barki Tajik
Not enough data to predict the Barki Tajik lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khujand have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Barki Tajik have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ravshan(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Parvoz(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Istaravshan(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Parvoz(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Istaravshan(away) | 4-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Khujand wins, 1 draw, 1 Barki Tajik win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Barki Tajik 1-0 Khujand | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Barki Tajik 0-1 Khujand | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Khujand 1-1 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Khujand 2-0 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Barki Tajik 0-1 Khujand | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 13, 2018 | Khujand 3-0 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barki Tajik vs Khujand on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khujand score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Barki Tajik score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khujand | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Barki Tajik | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khujand sit 6th in Vysshaya Liga (29 points from 20 matches) and Barki Tajik sit 5th (29 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barki Tajik | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Khujand | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 29 |
A question about Khujand vs Barki Tajik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khujand vs Barki Tajik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Khujand the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Barki Tajik.
- Where and when is Khujand vs Barki Tajik played?
- Khujand vs Barki Tajik is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 20-letie Nezavisimosti, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.