Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Kaisarianis Michalis Kritikopoulos, Athens
The Footlab model makes AEK Athens FC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Kifisia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC?
AEK Athens FC is a heavy favourite: 2,121 Elo points against 1,814 — a 307-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kifisia have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; AEK Athens FC have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zakynthos(away) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kifisia win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 AEK Athens FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | AEK Athens FC 3-0 Kifisia | Super League 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Kifisia 2-3 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | AEK Athens FC 3-0 Kifisia | Super League 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Kifisia 1-1 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | AEK Athens FC 3-0 Kifisia | Cup |
| Dec 15, 2022 | Kifisia 0-2 AEK Athens FC | Cup |
Last archived meeting: AEK Athens FC vs Kifisia on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kifisia score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Athens FC score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kifisia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| AEK Athens FC | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Athens FC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Kifisia.
- Where and when is Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC played?
- Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Kaisarianis Michalis Kritikopoulos, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.