Atromitos vs PAOK: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Peristeriou, Athens
The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Atromitos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atromitos vs PAOK?
PAOK starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,061 vs 1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atromitos have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; PAOK have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panserraikos(home) | 6-0 | Super League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Larisa(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atromitos win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 PAOK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | PAOK 1-1 Atromitos | Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Atromitos 2-0 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | PAOK 1-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | PAOK 3-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Atromitos 1-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Atromitos 0-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atromitos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; PAOK score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| PAOK | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atromitos sit 1st in Super League 1 (46 points from 36 matches) and PAOK sit 3rd (64 points from 32 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atromitos | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 42 | 46 |
| 3 | PAOK | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 64 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atromitos vs PAOK?
- The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Atromitos.
- Where and when is Atromitos vs PAOK played?
- Atromitos vs PAOK is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Peristeriou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.