Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Express: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Kigezi HomeBoyz, 35% for a draw, 32% for Express. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Express?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Kigezi HomeBoyz (1,253) and Express (1,346).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Express
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Not enough data to predict the Kigezi HomeBoyz lineup.
Express
Not enough data to predict the Express lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 02:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Kigezi HomeBoyz have 1 win, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Express have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | NEC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Blacks Power(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ntugasaze(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kataka(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kigezi HomeBoyz score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 8; Express score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kigezi HomeBoyz | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
| Express | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kigezi HomeBoyz sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 7 matches) and Express sit 12th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Express | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
A question about Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Express?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Express?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Kigezi HomeBoyz, 35% for a draw, 32% for Express.
- Where and when is Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Express played?
- Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Express is played on November 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.