Maroons vs NEC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes NEC the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Maroons. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maroons vs NEC?
NEC starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,519 vs 1,377).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maroons vs NEC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maroons
Not enough data to predict the Maroons lineup.
NEC
Not enough data to predict the NEC lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 02:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maroons have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; NEC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kataka(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Blacks Power(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ntugasaze(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | BUL(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Maroons wins, 1 draw, 5 NEC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | NEC 1-0 Maroons | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Maroons 1-1 NEC | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Maroons 1-3 NEC | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | NEC 2-1 Maroons | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NEC 2-1 Maroons | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Maroons 0-1 NEC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Maroons score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; NEC score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maroons | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| NEC | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maroons sit 11th in Premier League (11 points from 9 matches) and NEC sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
| 11 | Maroons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Maroons vs NEC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maroons vs NEC?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Maroons.
- Where and when is Maroons vs NEC played?
- Maroons vs NEC is played on November 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.