Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kilia-Platz, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 71%, against 15% for a draw and 14% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilia Kiel have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Heider SV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kilia Kiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Heider SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Kilia Kiel 5-0 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Heider SV 4-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 5-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Heider SV 1-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 20, 2023 | Heider SV 0-4 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Kilia Kiel 3-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilia Kiel sit 7th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Heider SV sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 71%, against 15% for a draw and 14% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV played?
- Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kilia-Platz, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.