King Faisal vs Ebusua Dwarfs: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
The Footlab model makes King Faisal the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ebusua Dwarfs. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win King Faisal vs Ebusua Dwarfs?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate King Faisal (1,504) and Ebusua Dwarfs (1,570).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, King Faisal have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ebusua Dwarfs have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ashanti Gold(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | UCC Youngsters(away) | 3-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Future Stars(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ebony FC(home) | 4-1 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Future Stars(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ebony FC(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sefwi All Stars(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Police National(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 King Faisal win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Ebusua Dwarfs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs 3-0 King Faisal | Division One League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | King Faisal 1-2 Ebusua Dwarfs | Division One League |
| Jul 11, 2021 | King Faisal 2-0 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Ebusua Dwarfs 1-0 King Faisal | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Ebusua Dwarfs 2-1 King Faisal | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2014 | King Faisal 2-1 Ebusua Dwarfs | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ebusua Dwarfs vs King Faisal on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
King Faisal score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ebusua Dwarfs score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King Faisal | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ebusua Dwarfs | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
King Faisal sit 6th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and Ebusua Dwarfs sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | King Faisal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for King Faisal vs Ebusua Dwarfs?
- The Footlab model makes King Faisal the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ebusua Dwarfs.
- Where and when is King Faisal vs Ebusua Dwarfs played?
- King Faisal vs Ebusua Dwarfs is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baba Yara Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.