Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United: result 1-1 and analysis
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 11, 2025 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu
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What was the result of Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?
Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United drew 1-1 on October 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′S. InabaKagoshima United
- 77′R. NagaiKitakyushu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Tochigi SC(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kochi United(home) | 0-2 | J3 League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Osaka(away) | 3-0 | J3 League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Tochigi City(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Vanraure Hachinohe(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(home) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nara Club(away) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kochi United(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kitakyushu win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Kagoshima United 1-0 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Kitakyushu 1-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| May 21, 2023 | Kitakyushu 2-2 Kagoshima United | Emperor Cup |
| May 4, 2023 | Kagoshima United 2-0 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
| Sep 19, 2022 | Kagoshima United 1-0 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Kitakyushu 1-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitakyushu | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2025Osaka3-0FC Ryukyu
- Oct 11, 2025Tochigi City3-0Nara Club
- Oct 12, 2025Kanazawa3-1Azul Claro Numazu
- Oct 12, 2025Tochigi SC1-0Fukushima United
- Oct 12, 2025Thespakusatsu Gunma0-4Vanraure Hachinohe
- Oct 12, 2025Gainare Tottori2-1Sagamihara
- Oct 12, 2025Kochi United1-3FC Gifu
- Oct 13, 2025Parceiro Nagano1-0Kamatamare Sanuki