Kitzbühel vs Schwaz: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 20Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Langau, Kitzbühel
The Footlab model makes Kitzbühel the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Schwaz. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kitzbühel vs Schwaz?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Kitzbühel (1,668) and Schwaz (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitzbühel have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Schwaz have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Imst(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-15 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fügen(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kitzbühel win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Schwaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Kitzbühel 2-0 Schwaz | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Schwaz 2-1 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| May 28, 2025 | Kitzbühel 2-0 Schwaz | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Schwaz 3-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Kitzbühel 4-0 Schwaz | Regionalliga - Tirol |
| Aug 15, 2022 | Schwaz 3-1 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - Tirol |
How many goals should we expect?
Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Schwaz score 1.5 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Schwaz | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kitzbühel sit 4th in Regionalliga - West (9 points from 4 matches) and Schwaz sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Schwaz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kitzbühel vs Schwaz?
- The Footlab model makes Kitzbühel the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Schwaz.
- Where and when is Kitzbühel vs Schwaz played?
- Kitzbühel vs Schwaz is played on March 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Langau, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.