Kolkheti Khobi vs Guria: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Tsentraluri Stadioni, Khobi
The Footlab model makes Guria the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Kolkheti Khobi. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kolkheti Khobi vs Guria?
Guria starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,375 vs 1,199).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kolkheti Khobi have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Guria have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | WIT Georgia(home) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Varketili(away) | 0-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kolkheti Khobi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Guria 5-0 Kolkheti Khobi | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Guria vs Kolkheti Khobi on May 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kolkheti Khobi score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guria score 2.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolkheti Khobi | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Guria | 2.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kolkheti Khobi sit 12th in Liga 3 (20 points from 18 matches) and Guria sit 2nd (39 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guria | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 11 | 39 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kolkheti Khobi vs Guria?
- The Footlab model makes Guria the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Kolkheti Khobi.
- Where and when is Kolkheti Khobi vs Guria played?
- Kolkheti Khobi vs Guria is played on October 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Tsentraluri Stadioni, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.