Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yuvilejnyj, Bucha
The Footlab model makes Kolos Kovalivka II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Oleksandria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Kolos Kovalivka II (1,658) and Oleksandria (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kolos Kovalivka II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Oleksandria have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Prykarpattia(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Kolos Kovalivka II score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oleksandria score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Oleksandria | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kolos Kovalivka II sit 14th in Persha Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Oleksandria sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oleksandria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria?
- The Footlab model makes Kolos Kovalivka II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Oleksandria.
- Where and when is Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria played?
- Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Yuvilejnyj, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.