Inhulets vs Oleksandria: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Inhulets, Petrove
The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Inhulets. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oleksandria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,374 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inhulets vs Oleksandria?
On Elo ratings, Inhulets has 1,715 points and Oleksandria 1,813.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inhulets vs Oleksandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inhulets
4-3-3- 52O. Zhadan
- 78O. Evtushenko
- 59B. Mogylnyi
- 22Danylo Yanyuk
- 30D. Tuzenko
- 10S. Ursolov
- 4V. Dubiley
- 5Y. Dankovskyi
- 8A. Benedyuk
- 3M. Dzyubin
- 24O. Slutskyi
Oleksandria
4-3-3- 9M. Tretyakov
- 44Jhonnatan Silva
- 25O. Kozak
- 21R. Tolochko
- 14R. Kuzmin
- 30Y. Kopyna
- 5O. Dykhtyaruk
- 2T. Dmytruk
- 3V. Adamyuk
- 4N. Gavrylyuk
- 33A. Klishchuk
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inhulets have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Oleksandria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-4 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Prykarpattia(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Inhulets wins, 2 draws, 4 Oleksandria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oleksandria 3-0 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Inhulets 0-1 Oleksandria | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Oleksandria 2-1 Inhulets | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Oleksandria 1-1 Inhulets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Oleksandria 2-1 Inhulets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Oleksandria 0-0 Inhulets | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Oleksandria vs Inhulets on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inhulets score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Oleksandria score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Oleksandria | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inhulets sit 11th in Persha Liga (14 points from 11 matches) and Oleksandria sit 4th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
A question about Inhulets vs Oleksandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inhulets vs Oleksandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Inhulets.
- Where and when is Inhulets vs Oleksandria played?
- Inhulets vs Oleksandria is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Inhulets, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.