Inhulets vs Oleksandria: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Inhulets, Petrove
The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Inhulets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inhulets vs Oleksandria?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Inhulets (1,640) and Oleksandria (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inhulets have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Oleksandria have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Inhulets win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Oleksandria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oleksandria 3-0 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Inhulets 0-1 Oleksandria | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Oleksandria 2-1 Inhulets | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Oleksandria 1-1 Inhulets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Oleksandria 2-1 Inhulets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Oleksandria 0-0 Inhulets | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Oleksandria vs Inhulets on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inhulets score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oleksandria score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Oleksandria | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inhulets sit 11th in Persha Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and Oleksandria sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oleksandria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inhulets vs Oleksandria?
- The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Inhulets.
- Where and when is Inhulets vs Oleksandria played?
- Inhulets vs Oleksandria is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Inhulets, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.