Kom vs Grbalj: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Kom, Podgorica
The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Kom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kom vs Grbalj?
Grbalj starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,357 vs 1,234).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kom have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Grbalj have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mladost Lješkopolje(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mogren(home) | 1-3 | Second League |
| May 24, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| May 20, 2026 | Lovćen(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Grbalj(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mogren(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zeta(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 29, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Internacional Podgorica(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kom win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Grbalj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Kom 0-2 Grbalj | Second League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Grbalj 4-2 Kom | Second League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Kom 1-0 Grbalj | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Grbalj 4-1 Kom | Second League |
| May 18, 2025 | Kom 1-1 Grbalj | Second League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Grbalj 3-0 Kom | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kom score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Grbalj score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kom | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Grbalj | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kom sit 10th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Grbalj sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grbalj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Kom | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kom vs Grbalj?
- The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Kom.
- Where and when is Kom vs Grbalj played?
- Kom vs Grbalj is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Kom, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.