Lovćen vs Rudar: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar Cetinjski, Cetinje
The Footlab model makes Lovćen the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Rudar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lovćen vs Rudar?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Lovćen (1,277) and Rudar (1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lovćen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rudar have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jedinstvo(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost Lješkopolje(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Igalo(away) | 4-2 | Second League |
| May 20, 2026 | Kom(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zeta(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Brskovo(home) | 5-0 | Second League |
| May 29, 2026 | Brskovo(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 24, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lovćen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rudar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rudar 1-2 Lovćen | Second League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Lovćen 1-0 Rudar | Second League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Rudar 7-0 Lovćen | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lovćen 1-0 Rudar | Second League |
| May 3, 2025 | Lovćen 2-0 Rudar | Second League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Rudar 0-1 Lovćen | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lovćen score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rudar score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovćen | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Rudar | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lovćen sit 8th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Rudar sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rudar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Lovćen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lovćen vs Rudar?
- The Footlab model makes Lovćen the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Rudar.
- Where and when is Lovćen vs Rudar played?
- Lovćen vs Rudar is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar Cetinjski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.