Kottern vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)ABT-Arena, Durach
The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erlbach wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kottern vs Erlbach?
Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kottern vs Erlbach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kottern
Not enough data to predict the Kottern lineup.
Erlbach
Not enough data to predict the Erlbach lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kottern have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Erlbach have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ismaning(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pipinsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kottern win, 3 draws, 2 Erlbach wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erlbach 3-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Kottern 2-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Erlbach 0-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kottern 0-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Erlbach 1-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Erlbach 1-1 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Kottern score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kottern | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kottern sit 14th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (33 points from 32 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
| 14 | Kottern | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | 33 |
A question about Kottern vs Erlbach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kottern vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Kottern.
- Where and when is Kottern vs Erlbach played?
- Kottern vs Erlbach is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at ABT-Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 20271860 RosenheimvsIsmaning
- Apr 9, 20271860 München IIvsKirchanschöring
- Apr 9, 2027Sportfreunde SchwaigvsPfaffenhofen
- Apr 10, 2027Heimstettenvs1880 Wasserburg
- Apr 10, 2027Schalding-HeiningvsHankofen-Hailing
- Apr 10, 2027PipinsriedvsGundelfingen
- Apr 10, 2027TuS GeretsriedvsDeisenhofen
- Apr 11, 2027SchwabmünchenvsLandshut