Kottern vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)ABT-Arena, Durach
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kottern vs Erlbach?
Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kottern have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kottern win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Erlbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Kottern 2-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Erlbach 0-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kottern 0-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Erlbach 1-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Erlbach 1-1 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Kottern 0-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kottern | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kottern sit 14th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (33 points from 32 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
| 14 | Kottern | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kottern vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kottern.
- Where and when is Kottern vs Erlbach played?
- Kottern vs Erlbach is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at ABT-Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 20271860 RosenheimvsIsmaning
- Apr 9, 20271860 München IIvsKirchanschöring
- Apr 9, 2027Sportfreunde SchwaigvsPfaffenhofen
- Apr 10, 2027Heimstettenvs1880 Wasserburg
- Apr 10, 2027Schalding-HeiningvsHankofen-Hailing
- Apr 10, 2027PipinsriedvsGundelfingen
- Apr 10, 2027TuS GeretsriedvsDeisenhofen
- Apr 11, 2027SchwabmünchenvsLandshut