Erlbach vs 1860 München II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 28Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1860 München II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erlbach vs 1860 München II?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Erlbach (1,801) and 1860 München II (1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; 1860 München II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Landshut(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Erlbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 1860 München II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | 1860 München II 4-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Erlbach 2-1 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Erlbach 1-1 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 1860 München II 0-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| May 3, 2024 | Erlbach 2-1 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 7, 2023 | 1860 München II 2-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: 1860 München II vs Erlbach on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1860 München II score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| 1860 München II | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erlbach sit 5th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (53 points from 32 matches) and 1860 München II sit 1st (72 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1860 München II | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 76 | 25 | 72 |
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs 1860 München II?
- The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1860 München II.
- Where and when is Erlbach vs 1860 München II played?
- Erlbach vs 1860 München II is played on April 16, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 16, 2027Hankofen-HailingvsPfaffenhofen
- Apr 16, 20271880 WasserburgvsTuS Geretsried
- Apr 16, 20271860 RosenheimvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Apr 17, 2027IsmaningvsKottern
- Apr 17, 2027DeisenhofenvsSchwabmünchen
- Apr 17, 2027KirchanschöringvsPipinsried
- Apr 17, 2027GundelfingenvsHeimstetten
- Apr 17, 2027LandshutvsSchalding-Heining